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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article
2023
The coupled system response to 250 years of freshwater forcing: Last Interglacial CMIP6–PMIP4 HadGEM3 simulations
Climate of the Past (2023)
Maria Vittoria Guarino | Louise C. Sime | Rachel Diamond | Jeff Ridley | David Schroeder
Journal article
2023
Pan-Atlantic decadal climate oscillation linked to ocean circulation
Communications Earth and Environment (2023)
Nnamchi, H.C. | Farneti, R. | Keenlyside, N.S. | Kucharski, F. | Latif, M. | Reintges, A. | Martin, T.
Journal article
2023
Prevalence of Human and Animal Fasciolosis in Butajira and Gilgel Gibe Health Demographic Surveillance System Sites in Ethiopia
Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease (2023)
Samson Wakuma Abaya | Seid Tiku Mereta | Fikirte Demissie Tulu | Zeleke Mekonnen | Mio Ayana | Musse Girma | Hannah Rose Vineer | Siobhan M. Mor | Cyril Caminade | John Graham-Brown
Journal article
2023
The Fifth Generation Regional Climate Modeling System, RegCM5: Description and Illustrative Examples at Parameterized Convection and Convection‐Permitting Resolutions
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2023)
Filippo Giorgi | Erika Coppola | Graziano Giuliani | James M. Ciarlo` | Emanuela Pichelli | Rita Nogherotto | Francesca Raffaele | Piero Malguzzi | Silvio Davolio | Paolo Stocchi | Oxana Drofa
Journal article
2023
Predictability of Indian Ocean precipitation and its North Atlantic teleconnections during early winter
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2023)
Abid, M.A. | Kucharski, F. | Molteni, F. | Almazroui, M.
Journal article
2023
The fifth generation regional climate modeling system, RegCM5. Part I: Description and illustrative examples at parameterized convection and convection‐permitting resolutions
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2023)
Filippo Giorgi | Erika Coppola | Graziano Giuliani | James M. Ciarlo` | Emanuela Pichelli | Rita Nogherotto | Francesca Raffaele | Piero Malguzzi | Silvio Davolio | Paolo Stocchi | Oxana Drofa
Journal article
2023
Is the Ollerenshaw fasciolosis forecasting model fit for the 21st century?
Veterinary Record (2023)
Alison Howell | Cyril Caminade | Franz Brülisauer | Sian Mitchell | Diana Williams
Journal article
2023
Effects of Land-Use and Environmental Factors on Snail Distribution and Trematode Infection in Ethiopia
Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease (2023)
Seid Tiku Mereta | Samson Wakuma Abaya | Fikirte Demissie Tulu | Kebede Takele | Mahmud Ahmednur | Girma Alemu Melka | Mark Nanyingi | Hannah Rose Vineer | John Graham-Brown | Cyril Caminade | Siobhan M. Mor
Journal article
2023
Impacts of mid-latitude circulation on winter temperature variability in the Arabian Peninsula: the explicit role of NAO
Climate Dynamics (2023)
Saeed, S. | Kucharski, F. | Almazroui, M.
Journal article
2023
Climate Drivers of Malaria Transmission Seasonality and Their Relative Importance in Sub‐Saharan Africa
GeoHealth (2023)
Edmund I. Yamba | Andreas H. Fink | Kingsley Badu | Ernest O. Asare | Adrian M. Tompkins | Leonard K. Amekudzi
Journal article
2022
Oceanic Influence on Seasonal Malaria Incidence in West Africa
Weather, Climate, and Society (2022)
Ibrahima Diouf | Roberto Suárez-Moreno | Belen Rodríguez-Fonseca | Cyril Caminade | Malick Wade | Wassila M. Thiaw | Abdoulaye Deme | Andrew P. Morse | Jaques-André Ndione | Amadou T. Gaye | Anta Diaw | Marie Khemesse Ngom Ndiaye
Journal article
2022
The Climatic Impact-Driver Framework for Assessment of Risk-Relevant Climate Information
Earth's Future (2022)
Ruane, A.C. | Vautard, R. | Ranasinghe, R. | Sillmann, J. | Coppola, E. | Arnell, N. | Cruz, F.A. | Dessai, S. | Iles, C.E. | Islam, A.K.M.S. | Jones, R.G. | Rahimi, M. | Carrascal, D.R. | Seneviratne, S.I. | Servonnat, J. ...

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All publications
Journal article
2020
A new perspective on ENSO-Indian summer monsoon rainfall relationship in a warming environment
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Pandey, P. | Dwivedi, S. | Goswami, B.N. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2020
The Footprint of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on the Intensity of Tropical Cyclones Over the Western North Pacific
Frontiers in Earth Science (2020)
Sun, C. | Liu, Y. | Gong, Z. | Kucharski, F. | Li, J. | Wang, Q. | Li, X.
Journal article
2020
Assessing Changes in Characteristics of Hot Extremes Over India in a Warming Environment and their Driving Mechanisms
Scientific Reports (2020)
Joshi, M.K. | Rai, A. | Kulkarni, A. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2020
Tropical Indian Ocean Mediates ENSO Influence Over Central Southwest Asia During the Wet Season
Geophysical Research Letters (2020)
Abid, M.A. | Ashfaq, M. | Kucharski, F. | Evans, K.J. | Almazroui, M.
Journal article
2020
Atlantic Ocean influence on Middle East summer surface air temperature
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2020)
Ehsan, M.A. | Nicolì, D. | Kucharski, F. | Almazroui, M. | Tippett, M.K. | Bellucci, A. | Ruggieri, P. | Kang, I.-S.
Journal article
2020
Dynamics of the ENSO teleconnection and NAO variability in the North Atlantic-European late winter
Journal of Climate (2020)
Mezzina, B. | García-Serrano, J. | Bladé, I. | Kucharski, F.
Journal article
2020
Understanding the influence of ENSO patterns on drought over southern Africa using SPEEDY
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Michelle Gore | Babatunde J. Abiodun | Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2020
Potential predictability of boreal winter precipitation over central-southwest Asia in the North American multi-model ensemble
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Ehsan, M.A. | Kucharski, F. | Almazroui, M.
Journal article
2020
Near‐Future Anthropogenic Aerosol Emission Scenarios and Their Direct Radiative Effects on the Present‐Day Characteristics of the Indian Summer Monsoon
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2020)
Sushant Das | Filippo Giorgi | Graziano Giuliani | Sagnik Dey | Erika Coppola
Journal article
2020
Machine dependence and reproducibility for coupled climate simulations: the HadGEM3-GC3.1 CMIP Preindustrial simulation
Geoscientific Model Development (2020)
Maria-Vittoria Guarino | Louise C. Sime | David Schroeder | Grenville M. S. Lister | Rosalyn Hatcher
Journal article
2020
Modelling the impact of climate change on the distribution and abundance of tsetse in Northern Zimbabwe
Parasites & Vectors (2020)
Joshua Longbottom | Cyril Caminade | Harry S. Gibson | Daniel J. Weiss | Steve Torr | Jennifer S. Lord
Journal article
2020
Sea-ice-free Arctic during the Last Interglacial supports fast future loss
Nature Climate Change (2020)
Maria-Vittoria Guarino | Louise C. Sime | David Schröeder | Irene Malmierca-Vallet | Erica Rosenblum | Mark Ringer | Jeff Ridley | Danny Feltham | Cecilia Bitz | Eric J. Steig | Eric Wolff | Julienne Stroeve | Alistair Sellar
Journal article
2020
Potential for Zika virus transmission by mosquitoes in temperate climates
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences (2020)
Marcus S. C. Blagrove | Cyril Caminade | Peter J. Diggle | Edward I. Patterson | Ken Sherlock | Gail E. Chapman | Jenny Hesson | Soeren Metelmann | Philip J. McCall | Gareth Lycett | Jolyon Medlock | Grant L. Hughes ...
Journal article
2020
Comparison of past and future simulations of ENSO in CMIP5/PMIP3 and CMIP6/PMIP4 models
Climate of the Past (2020)
Josephine R. Brown | Chris M. Brierley | Soon-Il An | Maria-Vittoria Guarino | Samantha Stevenson | Charles J. R. Williams | Qiong Zhang | Anni Zhao | Ayako Abe-Ouchi | Pascale Braconnot | Esther C. Brady | Deepak Chandan ...
Journal article
2020
Climate Variability and Malaria over West Africa
The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene (2020)
Ibrahima Diouf | Belén Rodriguez Fonseca | Cyril Caminade | Wassila M. Thiaw | Abdoulaye Deme | Andrew P. Morse | Jacques-André Ndione | Amadou Thierno Gaye | Anta Diaw | Marie Khemesse Ngom Ndiaye
Journal article
2020
CMIP6/PMIP4 simulations of the mid-Holocene and Last Interglacial using HadGEM3: comparison to the pre-industrial era, previous model versions and proxy data
Climate of the Past (2020)
Charles J. R. Williams | Maria-Vittoria Guarino | Emilie Capron | Irene Malmierca-Vallet | Joy S. Singarayer | Louise C. Sime | Daniel J. Lunt | Paul J. Valdes
Journal article
2020
Recent Decrease of Summer Sea Ice in the Weddell Sea, Antarctica
Geophysical Research Letters (2020)
John Turner | Maria Vittoria Guarino | Jack Arnatt | Babula Jena | Gareth J. Marshall | Tony Phillips | C. C. Bajish | Kyle Clem | Zhaomin Wang | Tom Andersson | Eugene J. Murphy | Rachel Cavanagh
Journal article
2020
Ocean‐Only FAFMIP: Understanding Regional Patterns of Ocean Heat Content and Dynamic Sea Level Change
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2020)
Alexander Todd | Laure Zanna | Matthew Couldrey | Jonathan Gregory | Quran Wu | John Church | Riccardo Farneti | René Navarro‐Labastida | Kewei Lyu | Oleg Saenko | Duo Yang | Xuebin Zhang
Journal article
2020
South Asian monsoon response to weakening of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a warming climate
Climate Dynamics (2020)
Sandeep Narayanasetti | P. Swapna | R. Krishnan | R. Farneti | A. G. Prajeesh | D. C. Ayantika | S. Manmeet
Journal article
2020
An assessment of the Indian Ocean mean state and seasonal cycle in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations
Ocean Modelling (2020)
H. Rahaman | U. Srinivasu | S. Panickal | J.V. Durgadoo | S.M. Griffies | M. Ravichandran | A. Bozec | A. Cherchi | A. Voldoire | D . Sidorenko | E.P. Chassignet | G. Danabasoglu | H. Tsujino | K. Getzlaff | M. Ilicak ...
Journal article
2020
The Regional Earth System Model RegCM‐ES: Evaluation of the Mediterranean Climate and Marine Biogeochemistry
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2020)
marco reale | Filippo Giorgi | cosimo solidoro | Valeria DI BIAGIO | Fabio Di Sante | Laura Mariotti | Riccardo Farneti | Gianmaria Sannino
Journal article
2020
Observed Modulation of the Tropical Radiation Budget by Deep Convective Organization and Lower‐Tropospheric Stability
AGU Advances (2020)
S. Bony | A. Semie | R. J. Kramer | B. Soden | A. M. Tompkins | K. A. Emanuel
Journal article
2020
Monthly entomological inoculation rate data for studying the seasoanality of malaria transmission in Africa
Data (2020)
Yamba, E.I. | Tompkins, A.M. | Fink, A.H. | Ermert, V. | Amelie, M.D. | Amekudzi, L.K. | Briët, O.J.T.
Journal article
2020
Projected shifts in the distribution of malaria vectors due to climate change
Climatic Change (2020)
Karypidou, M.C. | Almpanidou, V. | Tompkins, A.M. | Mazaris, A.D. | Gewehr, S. | Mourelatos, S. | Katragkou, E.
Journal article
2019
The response of precipitation characteristics to global warming from climate projections
Earth System Dynamics (2019)
Giorgi, F. | Raffaele, F. | Coppola, E.
Journal article
2019
Extreme precipitation events over Saudi Arabia during the wet season and their associated teleconnections
Atmospheric Research (2019)
Rana Muhammad Atif | Mansour Almazroui | Sajjad Saeed | Muhammad Adnan Abid | M. Nazrul Islam | Muhammad Ismail
Journal article
2019
Contrasting spatial structures of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation between observations and slab ocean model simulations
Climate Dynamics (2019)
Sun, C. | Li, J. | Kucharski, F. | Xue, J. | Li, X.
Journal article
2019
Recent Acceleration of Arabian Sea Warming Induced by the Atlantic‐Western Pacific Trans‐basin Multidecadal Variability
Geophysical Research Letters (2019)
Cheng Sun | Jianping Li | Fred Kucharski | In‐Sik Kang | Fei‐Fei Jin | Kaicun Wang | Chunzai Wang | Ruiqiang Ding | Fei Xie
Journal article
2019
Towards understanding the global and regional climatic impacts of Modoki magnitude
Global and Planetary Change (2019)
Dogar, M.M. | Kucharski, F. | Sato, T. | Mehmood, S. | Ali, S. | Gong, Z. | Das, D. | Arraut, J.
Journal article
2019
Ekman pumping mechanism driving precipitation anomalies in response to equatorial heating
Climate Dynamics (2019)
Hamouda, M.E. | Kucharski, F.

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